Forecast Track Record

A complete, leakage-free ledger of forecasts recorded before each regulatory decision. Pending calls remain visible and records are never rewritten after outcomes are known.

Prospective Forecast Ledger

One frozen call per program and FDA target date. Resolved calls take precedence over later pending forecasts.

6 unique decisions resolved · 5 correct · 31 pending · 83% accuracy

obexelimab
ZBIO · FDA decision
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
82% approval
Pending
May 27, 2027
encaleret
BBIO · PDUFA Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 26, 2026
92% approval
Pending
May 8, 2027
AXS-12
AXSM · Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 26, 2026
92% approval
Pending
May 1, 2027
NCX 470
ALCOX · PDUFA Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 26, 2026
88% approval
Pending
Apr 30, 2027
Varegacestat
IMNM · FDA decision
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
90% approval
Pending
Apr 28, 2027
deucrictibant IR
PHVS · FDA decision
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Apr 23, 2027
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran
NTLA · PDUFA action
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Mar 10, 2027
Tinlarebant
BLTE · PDUFA Target Action Date
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Feb 12, 2027
Ulixacaltamide
PRAX · PDUFA Target Action Date Set
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
88% approval
Pending
Jan 29, 2027
ARIKAYCE
INSM · PDUFA action
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Jan 28, 2027
zeleciment rostudirsen
DYN · FDA decision
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
70% approval
Pending
Jan 21, 2027
ANKTIVA + BCG
IBRX · FDA decision
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
80% approval
Pending
Jan 6, 2027
ANKTIVA
IBRX · FDA decision
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Jan 6, 2027
Bezuclastinib
COGT · PDUFA Date for NonAdvSM
Frozen Sep 26, 2026
88% approval
Pending
Dec 30, 2026
Relutrigine
PRAX · Relutrigine PDUFA target action date (extended)
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Dec 27, 2026
MR-107A-02
VTRS · PDUFA Goal Date
Frozen Sep 28, 2026
92% approval
Pending
Dec 27, 2026
Anito-cel
GILD · Target Action Date
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Dec 23, 2026
Imsidolimab
VNDA · Target Action Date
Frozen Oct 13, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Dec 12, 2026
Zanzalintinib + Atezolizumab
EXEL · Target action date for zanzalintinib + atezolizumab
Frozen Sep 17, 2026
88% approval
Pending
Dec 3, 2026
Bezuclastinib
COGT · PDUFA Date for GIST
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Nov 30, 2026
BBP-418
BBIO · PDUFA action
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
85% approval
Pending
Nov 27, 2026
Vebevirgene
BBIO · Prescription Drug User Fee Act Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 28, 2026
92% approval
Pending
Nov 27, 2026
BBP-418
BBIO · PDUFA Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 28, 2026
92% approval
Pending
Nov 27, 2026
Neladalkib
NUVL · Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 14, 2026
92% approval
Pending
Nov 27, 2026
CAP-1002
CAPR · Extended PDUFA Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 26, 2026
65% approval
Pending
Nov 22, 2026
Deramiocel
CAPR · Extended PDUFA Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 26, 2026
55% approval
Pending
Nov 22, 2026
Ivonescimab
SMMT · Target Action Date for EGFR-mutated NSCLC BLA
Frozen Sep 26, 2026
78% approval
Pending
Nov 14, 2026
Mitapivat
AGIO · FDA Target Action Date under Priority Review
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
45% approval
Pending
Nov 1, 2026
INO-3107
INO · FDA PDUFA decision — INO-3107 for adult RRP
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
35% approval
Pending
Oct 30, 2026
Bepirovirsen
GSK · Target Action Date
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
95% approval
Pending
Oct 26, 2026
Enspryng
RHHBY · FDA PDUFA decision — Enspryng for TED
Frozen Oct 12, 2026
55% approval
Pending
Oct 15, 2026
ifinatamab deruxtecan
DSKYF · FDA Action Date
Frozen Sep 17, 2026
82% approval
Discontinued · MISS
Oct 10, 2026
Tecentriq Hybreza
RHHBY · FDA PDUFA decision — Tecentriq / Hybreza adjuvant colon cancer
Frozen Oct 8, 2026
85% approval
Approved · HIT
Oct 9, 2026
WELIREG + LENVIMA
MRK · Target action date for sNDA
Frozen Sep 17, 2026
88% approval
Approved · HIT
Oct 4, 2026
Emcitate
EGTX · PDUFA Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 26, 2026
88% approval
Approved · HIT
Sep 28, 2026
Zilurgisertib
MIRM · PDUFA Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 14, 2026
88% approval
Approved · HIT
Sep 26, 2026
UX111
RARE · Target Action Date
Frozen Sep 14, 2026
75% approval
Approved · HIT
Sep 19, 2026